US slate
Thursday, 22 October 2026
Win probabilities use completed games through 2026-10-26. Logistic regression and gradient boosting are fit through 2026-10-26. Final scores for the 2026-27 season, compared with the pregame projection from each team's previous lineup. The primary number is logistic regression.
2026-27 finals so far: logistic 32 of 52, Elo 30 of 52, boosting 33 of 52.
Games
2
Final
Closest
Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers
Smallest gap from 50%
Strongest favourite
Oklahoma City Thunder 77%
Highest logistic probability
Logistic correct
2 of 2
Favourite matched the winner
106
Cleveland Cavaliers
0-0 · pace —
season — · blend +2.5
114
Philadelphia 76ers
1-0 · pace 103.8
season +5.8 · blend +0.4
Pregame logistic had Philadelphia 76ers at 59%. Philadelphia 76ers won.
The largest contributions toward Philadelphia 76ers are Away absences and Rest gap.
No key player sat the last game.
84
Denver Nuggets
0-0 · pace —
season — · blend +3.1
96
Oklahoma City Thunder
1-0 · pace 104.3
season +11.5 · blend +7.1
Pregame logistic had Oklahoma City Thunder at 77%. Oklahoma City Thunder won.
The largest contributions toward Oklahoma City Thunder are Away absences and Blended net rating.
No key player sat the last game.
Pregame estimates the chance each team wins. It is not a betting product. The favourite labels are bands for reading the probability. Calibration is in the model lab.