US slate
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Win probabilities use completed games through 2026-10-26. Logistic regression and gradient boosting are fit through 2026-10-26. Projected from each team's last completed game. No injury report has been applied. The primary number is logistic regression.
2026-27 finals so far: logistic 32 of 52, Elo 30 of 52, boosting 33 of 52.
Games
4
Still to tip off
Closest
Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks
Smallest gap from 50%
Strongest favourite
San Antonio Spurs 90%
Highest logistic probability
Projected absences
0
Games with 3+ key players out of the last lineup
Brooklyn Nets
0-3 · pace 103.6
season -12.2 · blend -7.6
Boston Celtics
2-1 · pace 99.1
season +10.4 · blend +6.1
Heavy favourite: Boston Celtics
The largest contributions toward Boston Celtics are Blended net rating and Elo gap.
1 key player projected out from the last game.
Detroit Pistons
3-0 · pace 100.0
season +12.7 · blend +6.7
New York Knicks
0-3 · pace 99.4
season -6.4 · blend +1.5
Near even
The largest contributions toward New York Knicks are Net-rating gap and Away absences.
2 key players projected out from the last game.
Sacramento Kings
0-3 · pace 101.2
season -14.5 · blend -8.0
San Antonio Spurs
1-2 · pace 101.9
season 0.0 · blend +3.8
Heavy favourite: San Antonio Spurs
The largest contributions toward San Antonio Spurs are Blended net rating and Elo gap.
2 key players projected out from the last game.
Portland Trail Blazers
2-0 · pace 100.1
season +24.5 · blend +3.9
Los Angeles Lakers
3-0 · pace 101.2
season +12.8 · blend +3.8
Slight favourite: Los Angeles Lakers
The largest contributions toward Los Angeles Lakers are Defensive-rating gap and Shooting gap.
1 key player projected out from the last game.
Pregame estimates the chance each team wins. It is not a betting product. The favourite labels are bands for reading the probability. Calibration is in the model lab.