US slate
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Win probabilities use completed games through 2026-10-26. Logistic regression and gradient boosting are fit through 2026-10-26. Injury report 27 October 2026, 7:00 AM ET. Players ruled out are removed from the projection and the win probabilities. Questionable and doubtful players stay on the last completed lineup. Probable and available players are put back in. The primary number is logistic regression.
2026-27 finals so far: logistic 32 of 52, Elo 30 of 52, boosting 33 of 52.
Games
3
Still to tip off
Closest
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans
Smallest gap from 50%
Strongest favourite
Portland Trail Blazers 77%
Highest logistic probability
Projected absences
2
Games with 3+ key players out of the last lineup
Cleveland Cavaliers
2-1 · pace 104.9
season -0.6 · blend +1.8
Atlanta Hawks
2-2 · pace 102.4
season +9.0 · blend +3.6
Slight favourite: Atlanta Hawks
The largest contributions toward Atlanta Hawks are Away absences and Away back-to-back.
No key player sat the last game.
Sacramento Kings
0-3 · pace 101.2
season -14.5 · blend -8.0
New Orleans Pelicans
0-3 · pace 102.4
season -3.1 · blend -2.8
Slight favourite: New Orleans Pelicans
The largest contributions toward New Orleans Pelicans are Blended net rating and Away absences.
3 key players projected out from the last game.
Memphis Grizzlies
4-0 · pace 99.3
season +9.8 · blend +0.3
Portland Trail Blazers
2-0 · pace 100.1
season +24.5 · blend +3.9
Strong favourite: Portland Trail Blazers
The largest contributions toward Portland Trail Blazers are Blended net rating and Away absences.
3 key players projected out from the last game.
Pregame estimates the chance each team wins. It is not a betting product. The favourite labels are bands for reading the probability. Calibration is in the model lab.