Pregame

US slate

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Win probabilities use completed games through 2026-10-26. Logistic regression and gradient boosting are fit through 2026-10-26. Injury report 27 October 2026, 7:00 AM ET. Players ruled out are removed from the projection and the win probabilities. Questionable and doubtful players stay on the last completed lineup. Probable and available players are put back in. The primary number is logistic regression.

October 2026

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US dates. A dot marks a day with final scores.

2026-27 finals so far: logistic 32 of 52, Elo 30 of 52, boosting 33 of 52.

Games

4

Still to tip off

Closest

Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks

Smallest gap from 50%

Strongest favourite

San Antonio Spurs 90%

Highest logistic probability

Projected absences

1

Games with 3+ key players out of the last lineup

Wed 28 Oct, 10:30 SydneyHome on the right
BKN

Brooklyn Nets

0-3 · pace 103.6

season -12.2 · blend -7.6

LLL
BOS

Boston Celtics

2-1 · pace 99.1

season +10.4 · blend +6.1

LWW
15%
85%

Strong favourite: Boston Celtics

The largest contributions toward Boston Celtics are Blended net rating and Elo gap.

Elo 91%Logistic 85%Boosting 88%
  • Tyler Bilodeau Out
  • Joshua Jefferson Out
  • Grant Nelson Out
  • Drake Powell Out
  • Ben Saraf Out

Injury report not yet submitted.

Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 SydneyHome on the right
DET

Detroit Pistons

3-0 · pace 100.0

season +12.7 · blend +6.7

WWW
NYK

New York Knicks

0-3 · pace 99.4

season -6.4 · blend +1.5

LLL
48%
52%

Near even

The largest contributions toward New York Knicks are Net-rating gap and Away absences.

Elo 44%Logistic 52%Boosting 37%Models disagree
  • Jalen Duren Out
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out
  • Elijah Harkless Questionable
  • Isaiah Joe Questionable
  • Isaac Jones Questionable
  • Ausar Thompson Questionable
  • Jose Alvarado Out
Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 SydneyHome on the right
SAC

Sacramento Kings

0-3 · pace 101.2

season -14.5 · blend -8.0

LLL
SAS

San Antonio Spurs

1-2 · pace 101.9

season 0.0 · blend +3.8

LLW
10%
90%

Heavy favourite: San Antonio Spurs

The largest contributions toward San Antonio Spurs are Blended net rating and Elo gap.

Elo 89%Logistic 90%Boosting 85%
  • Dylan Cardwell Out
  • Keegan Murray Out
  • Sean Pedulla Out
  • Maxime Raynaud Out
  • Ben Simmons Out
  • Tobias Harris Out
  • Jayden Quaintance Out
Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 SydneyHome on the right
POR

Portland Trail Blazers

2-0 · pace 100.1

season +24.5 · blend +3.9

WW
LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

3-0 · pace 101.2

season +12.8 · blend +3.8

WWW
37%
63%

Slight favourite: Los Angeles Lakers

The largest contributions toward Los Angeles Lakers are Defensive-rating gap and Shooting gap.

Elo 64%Logistic 63%Boosting 62%
  • Jayson Kent Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out
  • John Tonje Out
  • Chris Youngblood Out
  • Branden Carlson Questionable
  • Scoot Henderson Questionable
  • Cameron Carr Out
  • Adou Thiero Out
  • Walker Kessler Available

Pregame estimates the chance each team wins. It is not a betting product. The favourite labels are bands for reading the probability. Calibration is in the model lab.